{"id":23579,"date":"2026-08-20T08:21:25","date_gmt":"2026-08-20T08:21:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/strategicforecast.cissajk.org.pk\/?p=23579"},"modified":"2026-08-20T08:25:05","modified_gmt":"2026-08-20T08:25:05","slug":"rendezvous-and-proximity-operations-rpos-in-the-legal-grey-zone-of-international-space-law","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/strategicforecast.cissajk.org.pk\/?p=23579","title":{"rendered":"Rendezvous and Proximity Operations (RPOs) in the Legal Grey Zone of International Space Law"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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Space exploration is expanding in its scope, actors, and applications over time. This evolution of space catalyzed innovation for the benefit of humanity but also resulted in congestion and competition in space. As more states started depending on satellite technologies for national security and civilian uses, counterspace capabilities also evolved. Security World Foundation declared Co-orbital weapons as one of the counterspace capabilities in its Global Counterspace Threat Assessment (2026).<\/a>\u00a0 It defines a co-orbital weapon as \u201cweapons that are placed into orbit and then maneuver to approach the target to attack it by various means, including destructive and non-destructive.\u201d<\/p>\n\n

Rendezvous and Proximity Operations<\/a> (RPOs) technologies are inherently dual-use and come under the umbrella of co-orbital weapons. Rendezvous is the process of intentionally bringing two or more space objects into an orbit by orbital maneuvers such as \u201cmatching the plane altitude and phasing.\u201d Proximity operations are a series of maneuvers a satellite does in the same or nearly the same orbit in the vicinity of another space object for a specific time duration to accomplish mission objectives. RPO technologies are dual-use;<\/a> they have civilian and commercial uses such as refueling, repairing, on-orbit inspection, and life extension. RPO technologies can come under counterspace capabilities, as the intention of maneuvering a satellite can be mistaken and misinterpreted by the other side. States\u2019 risk assessment plays a major role in perceiving an RPO satellite as a threat or not. Moreover, RPO satellites can perform functions such as surveillance, disruption, or decryption of signals, jamming communication, interference with optical sensors, grabbing a satellite, and releasing high- or low-velocity co-orbital kinetic anti-satellite weapons.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n

RPOs are not a new phenomenon, but states are increasingly building sophisticated RPO technologies amid space competition. The US, Russia, and China have conducted multiple RPOs and exhibited their capabilities. The US does not have any dedicated program for developing co-orbital counterspace weapons; however, it conducted multiple RPOs in both Low Earth Orbit (LEO) and Geostationary Earth Orbit (GEO). These activities included targeting, tracking, and hit-to-kill (HTK) intercept technologies that can be potential co-orbital anti-satellite capabilities. The US conducted 5 RPOs<\/a> in 2025 in GEO that maneuvered closely to their own satellites and Chinese satellites as well. Moreover, the Delta 180 mission<\/a> was a showcase of offensive capabilities such as physical collision to destroy a satellite. A missile interceptor under the proposed \u201cGolden Dome for America\u201d project can also be transformed into a space weapon program.<\/p>\n\n

Russia has actively invested and performed various RPOs in recent decades in both LEO and GEO. Russia<\/a> is considered to be building its anti-satellite ( ASAT) capabilities out of the mothballs of the Cold War. Many satellites of the Cosmos series and Luch satellites were launched under RPOs for purposes such as co-orbit inspection, intelligence collection, and surveillance. Some of these satellites, Cosmos 2542, 2543, 2558, 2576, and 2588, were co-planar with US satellites. Such RPOs can result in supporting target identification and tracking, intercepting broadcasts, or jamming radio waves, thus hampering satellite communications. Russia did not explicitly test co-orbit hit-to-kill (HTK) weapons. However, it has tested deployment of aerosol or cloud, and multiple subsatellites or payloads at low and high velocities. There are speculations that the Burevestnik<\/a> program may have been launched by Russia to develop a co-orbital ASAT program. Russia can develop a co-orbital ASAT weapon by deploying a high-velocity payload.<\/p>\n\n

China<\/a> is also a major actor in space, developing counterspace capabilities. It has conducted various RPOs in both LEO and GEO. The first RPO by China was conducted in 2010 that involved SJ-12 and SJ-06F. In 2025, China launched SJ-21 and SJ-12 02 for RPOs. The latter came within 60 km of the US satellite USA336. The closest RPO was conducted by SJ-17<\/a>, which had a robotic arm, which approached the target satellite within 1 km for detailed inspection.\u00a0 The potential military utility of Chinese RPOs is to demonstrate on-orbit space situational awareness (SSA), satellite servicing, inspection, and imaging capability. China has not tested any offensive co-orbital weapons to destroy any space object.<\/p>\n\n

RPOs of major powers boost the security dilemma for each other as they perceive others\u2019 actions as offensive. There is a legal loophole in the Outer Space Treaty (OST) (1967)<\/a> on RPOs. Some general clauses can explain how a state shall conduct an RPO; however, it is barely more than basic guidelines. For instance, Article XI of OST puts states under an obligation to inform the UN Secretary-General, the public, and the international scientific community. However, states only provide generic descriptions and avoid transparency. Similarly, Article IV<\/a> (Registration Convention) requires states to register specific details, but states register information that meets a general function to avoid revealing potential dual-uses. Article XI (OST) suggests that states shall act with \u201cdue regard\u201d to the other states\u2019 interests. Due regard is a vague term, as inspecting and surveilling a satellite might not be considered as offensive as kinetic ASATs. There is no legal way to limit the extent of proximity between two satellites involved in RPO. Another problem that international space law cannot address is the intent problem related to RPO. States can undertake RPO for military purposes, but publicly project it as peaceful uses. The absence of baseline norms increases the risk of misreading intent and sudden escalation.<\/p>\n\n

Addressing RPO-related risks requires a multi-pronged approach centered on dialogue, transparency, and verification. States should begin by discussing agreed definitions of behavior for military space activities, as the phrase \u201cpeaceful exploration\u201d is vague. A shared definition of threatening RPOs will help avoid any misinterpretation by any country. States shall make pre-notifications and avoid going into others\u2019 \u201ckeep-out\u201d zones, i.e., high-value GEO assets. A multilateral Space Situational Awareness mechanism would reduce the threat for states with weaker tracker systems. Defining an escalation framework for RPOs using clear vocab, for example, \u201clikely benign\u201d, \u201cwarrants inquiry\u201d, and \u201cimminent threatening, will avoid any offensive response based on perceived worst-case scenarios. Direct, fast-channel, bilateral crisis hotlines shall be used to reduce miscalculation risk.<\/p>\n\n

In a nutshell, RPOs are classified as a counterspace threat in space; however, they are by nature dual-use. Proximity of another state\u2019s satellites will be considered offensive by all states. RPOs are used for inspection and imaging of other states\u2019 satellites by all major powers. It can escalate an offensive episode in outer space. There is a dire need for major powers to come forward and take measures to prioritize stability and peace in space.<\/p>\n\n


Author:<\/strong> Areesha Manzoor is a Research Assistant at the Centre for International Strategic Studies, Islamabad, researching space politics. Her authorship includes articles and research papers on space politics.<\/em><\/p>\n\n

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Space exploration is expanding in its scope, actors, and applications over time. This evolution of space catalyzed innovation for the benefit of humanity but also resulted in congestion and competition…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":135,"featured_media":23580,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[232,238],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23579","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-arm-control-and-disarmament","category-latest"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/strategicforecast.cissajk.org.pk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23579","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/strategicforecast.cissajk.org.pk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/strategicforecast.cissajk.org.pk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/strategicforecast.cissajk.org.pk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/135"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/strategicforecast.cissajk.org.pk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=23579"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/strategicforecast.cissajk.org.pk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23579\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23584,"href":"https:\/\/strategicforecast.cissajk.org.pk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23579\/revisions\/23584"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/strategicforecast.cissajk.org.pk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/23580"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/strategicforecast.cissajk.org.pk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=23579"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/strategicforecast.cissajk.org.pk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=23579"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/strategicforecast.cissajk.org.pk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=23579"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}